Overview of 441 # silicon price trend
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This week, metal silicon continued to explore under pressure, and the decline at the end of the week slowed down. According to the monitoring of Business News Agency, as of March 27, the average price of 441 # metal silicon spot market in China was 16890 yuan/ton, down 1.97% on a weekly basis. Transaction in the spot market is still light, with some businesses selling at low prices, but it is difficult to improve the weak situation. The futures market narrowed its decline this week, falling 1.40% to close at 15895 yuan/ton.
The price of 441 # silicon in various regions on the 27th is as follows:
The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Huangpu Port area is 16800-17000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 16900 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Tianjin Port area is 16700-17000 yuan/ton, with an average price of 16850 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metal silicon in Kunming is 16500-16700 yuan/ton, with an average price of 16600 yuan/ton; The price range of # 441 metallic silicon in Sichuan is 16700-16800 yuan/ton, averaging 16750 yuan/ton; The price range of Shanghai # 441 metal silicon is 17300-17400 yuan/ton, with an average price of 17350 yuan/ton.
Factors Affecting the Price of Metallic Silicon
On the supply side:
The overall number of silicon metal furnaces opened this week was 325. As of March 24th, it is understood that the silicon metal furnace opening rate was around 45.39%, with 157 furnaces opened in Xinjiang, 25 furnaces opened in Sichuan, and 39 furnaces opened in Yunnan. Southwest Silicon Plant suffered a comprehensive loss and increased shutdown and maintenance. Recently, Yunnan issued a notice on the special rectification work plan for safety production, and silicon enterprises in Yunnan have been involved.
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Demand:
After rising, polysilicon stabilized, with the mainstream range reaching 20.0-2.20 million/ton, and the domestic supply price generally declined by 5000 yuan/ton. The yield of downstream silicon wafers is low. In order to ensure the order demand for silicon wafers, the silicon wafer operating rate has increased, and the demand for silicon materials has increased. Overall, the silicon material market will maintain a high level of consolidation in the near future, and there is still momentum in the medium and long term.
The price of aluminum alloy ADC12 fell by 200 yuan/ton, with the mainstream quotation of 18500 yuan/ton. The aluminum alloy industry has started construction temporarily steadily, but the weak status quo has not improved.
The domestic silicone DMC market price continues to decline, with a reference market price of 16140 yuan/ton. Organosilicon enterprises continue to suffer losses, and some monomer factories maintain shutdown for maintenance, resulting in a low demand for metallic silicon.
Aftermarket Forecast
In general, supply is stable and demand is sluggish, making it difficult to change the weak situation of metal silicon in a short period of time. However, some insiders believe that the current price of metal silicon is approaching the bottom, with limited space for price reduction, and cost support expected to emerge. It is expected that the price of metal silicon will be weak and consolidate in the short term.
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