According to the price monitoring of the business community, the market prices of pure polyester yarn and polyester cotton yarn in Shandong Province were basically stable in September. Downstream orders lacked the downward impact of superimposed costs, and prices fell slightly near the end of the month. As of September 30, the average market price of pure polyester yarn in Shandong was 14150 yuan/ton, down 0.53% from the beginning of the month and 1.57% year on year; The average market price of polyester cotton yarn was 18140 yuan/ton, down 0.33% from the beginning of the month. It is understood that most of the downstream cotton mills have National Day holidays ranging from 3 to 7 days.
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This month, the trading of pure polyester yarn and polyester cotton yarn continued to be light. As of the end of the month, the demand of pure polyester and polyester cotton in the market accounted for 29%, and the varieties were mainly T/C knitting/woven, R/T knitting and CVC knitting. The enterprise mainly takes delivery of goods in the warehouse, the overall market transaction is average, and the industry has a strong wait-and-see mentality. The new orders in the downstream are insufficient, the purchase of weaving mills is reduced accordingly, and the price drops partially, showing a steady and declining trend in general. At present, the downstream is mainly for coarse count canvas and gauze card orders. The market is short of coarse count bleaching and dyeing yarn, with a trend of price increase. The 32s and 50s of pure polyester yarn are not well sold in the market, compared with the 45s, which is mainly used to produce polyester cotton lining series; In the near future, the orders of 7s and 10s coarse count yarns in the downstream have increased, and the price has risen slightly; The trading volume of polyester cotton yarn market is not large, and the prices of some 65/35 varieties are stable; The cotton mills in Hebei are in normal production, the polyester cotton yarn shipments are fair, the price is stable, the inventory pressure is not large, and the retroactive quotation of foreign cotton increases; The demand for TC and CVC10-16 pieces of air spinning products in Yancheng market has also increased, mainly for the orders of sanitary clothes and school uniforms.
As the National Day holiday approaches, the stock preparation before the festival has basically ended. The market adjustment of polyester staple fiber is waiting to take the lead. The overall price fluctuates with the raw materials. However, Xinfengming Zhonglei has reduced production, and the overall start of staple fiber remains at a low level, and the performance is relatively resistant to decline when the raw materials are operating under the strong support and loss of Chen Benduan. The cotton prices at home and abroad were under pressure, and the trading center fell significantly, with Zheng cotton falling below 104 and American cotton falling below 95 cents/pound. The domestic market is under pressure from factors such as the high yield of new cotton, the deterioration of Xinjiang cotton ban, which may affect the demand expectation, and the cautious attitude of ginners in purchasing new cotton, and the cotton price continues to be under pressure; However, the international market maintained a wide range of concussion under the circumstances of weaker demand expectation, supply side tension or less than expected, and weather disturbance.
At present, the export orders and home textile market are growing slowly, and the seasonal growth of domestic clothing demand is difficult to drive the overall downstream demand. Textile enterprises in various regions said that the “golden nine silver ten” has been more than half, and orders did not meet the delivery deadline as in previous years. The inquiry for large orders has warmed up, but the actual transactions are less, most of which are small batch purchases and lofting, and the continuity is not strong. The average order is only about 70% of the previous years. Influenced by the weak situation, most enterprises are in a wait-and-see attitude. Although it is in the peak season, the overall pessimism still exists. On the whole, the future market is mainly bearish.
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In terms of operating rate, the operating rate of large textile mills in Anqing, Anhui can reach about 80-90%, and the operating rate of small textile mills fluctuates around 60-70%. The market in Qianqing is relatively stable. Although stock replenishment is not active, the operating rate of textile mills and textile mills can remain relatively stable. The operating rate of textile mills in Foshan, Guangdong has a small downward trend, which can still be maintained at 50-60%. The operating load in Jiangsu and Zhejiang has increased slightly to more than 71%, But overall, the “Golden Nine” is not good enough.
Multiple factors, such as shrinking international market demand and falling prices of chemical fiber and cotton textile raw materials, slowed down the export growth of terminal textiles and clothing in August. According to the latest data of China Customs, China’s textile and clothing exports in August were 208.99 billion yuan, up 7.3%, down 6.8% month on month. Among them, textile exports were 84.27 billion yuan, up 4.1%, down 8% month on month, and clothing exports were 124.72 billion yuan, up 9.6%, down 5.9% month on month.
Future market forecast: on the cost side, crude oil is weak, cotton prices at home and abroad are under pressure, and the trading center has dropped significantly, resulting in insufficient cost drive. At the same time, textile and clothing consumption performance is low, and textile enterprises have obviously felt the “cold”. As the National Day holiday approaches, the downstream weaving is facing a reduction in load, and the yarn mill will need to further move the goods to the warehouse. To sum up, the market price of pure polyester yarn and polyester cotton yarn will move downward.
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